GlossarySafetyIntermediate

Existential threat

Also written: x-risk

Risks that could lead to human extinction or permanently limit humanity's potential.

In plain terms

An existential threat is a danger that could end human civilization or even all human life. This is different from everyday risks like accidents or natural disasters because it threatens the entire future of our species.

For example, a superintelligent AI that decides humans are an obstacle to its goals could potentially wipe us out. This is a hypothetical scenario, but it's a concern raised by some AI researchers.

The expert version

Existential risks refer to threats that could cause human extinction or permanently and drastically curtail humanity's potential. These are risks that operate on a civilizational or species level, with irreversible and catastrophic consequences.

While often discussed in the context of advanced AI, existential risks can also encompass other scenarios such as engineered pandemics, catastrophic climate change, or asteroid impacts. The focus in frontier AI labs is typically on risks stemming from uncontrolled superintelligence or misuse of powerful AI systems.

Why it matters now

AI leaders are increasingly discussing the potential for advanced AI systems to pose existential risks. This concern is leading to calls for slowing down AI development, even among those building the most powerful systems.

Where it shows up 3 items, newest first
How each company uses it
Anthropic Claude
Anthropic researchers have directly warned about existential risks stemming from self-improving AI, contributing to discussions about slowing development.
OpenAI ChatGPT
OpenAI is navigating the perceived existential threat of AI, as seen in discussions about user trust and AI integration.
Related terms

AI alignmentSuperintelligenceAI safetyCatastrophic riskExistential safetyAI control problem

Often confused with
Catastrophic risk
While related, catastrophic risks are broader and may not nec
Existential safety
This is a closely related field focusing on preventing exist
Origin

The concept of existential risk has been discussed in philosophy and risk analysis for decades, but gained significant traction in the AI community with the rise of concerns about superintelligence. Source ↗

Try this about 5 minutes

While you can't directly simulate an existential threat, you can explore AI safety concepts by asking models about their safety guidelines. For example, ask a model like ChatGPT or Claude to explain its safety protocols or what it would do if asked to generate harmful content.

Try it: Playbook entries that use thisPlaybook →

The Playbook: reusable how-tos, prompts, configs and tips pulled out of the news.

Questions people ask

Is existential risk the same as AI safety?
AI safety is a field dedicated to ensuring AI systems are beneficial and do not cause harm, which includes addressing existential risks. Existential risk is a specific type of extreme danger that AI safety aims to prevent.
Are current AI models an existential threat?
Most experts agree that current AI models are not an existential threat. The concern is about future, more advanced AI systems that could potentially pose such risks.

First seen on Subvolts Sep 9, 2026. Updated Sep 21, 2026. Written by an AI model from the items above and reviewed against them weekly; report an error.