Subvolts take AI's 2026 forecast covers models, robotics, IPOs, and consumer agents, with industry leader insights. Dec 19, 2025
For you
Developers
Learn about the future of foundational models and potential new consumer agent software.
Business
Understand market trends like IPOs and M&As, and how industries like medicine and law are adopting AI.
Everyday users
Discover predictions for AI consumer agents and the potential impact of AI on everyday life.
Hype note
3/5Notable

This episode provides a forward-looking analysis of AI trends and market dynamics with insights from industry leaders.

The 2026 AI Forecast: Foundation Models, IPOs, and Robotics with Sarah Guo and Elad Gil

41 min Interview Hosts: Sarah Guo, Elad Gil
0:0040:46

Audio streams from Conviction. Your place is remembered on this device.

From Subvolts

Summary and analysis by Subvolts editorial, AI-assisted.

Summary

In this 41-minute No Priors podcast, hosts Sarah Guo and Elad Gil forecast AI trends for 2026. They discuss foundational models, scientific breakthroughs, robotics timelines, and the return of tech IPOs. The episode also covers AI consumer agents, slower consumer product innovation, defense tech, and the impact of GLP-1 drugs. Predictions from industry leaders like Jensen Huang are included.

Explained simply

This podcast looks ahead to what AI will do in 2026. Hosts discuss smart computer programs, robots, and new apps. They also share predictions from top tech leaders about the future of AI.

Why listen

This episode offers a forward-looking perspective on AI's trajectory, valuable for anyone tracking the industry's evolution. It connects current AI developments, like foundational models, to potential real-world applications in science and robotics. Listeners will gain insights into market dynamics, including IPOs and startup survival. The discussion on consumer agents and slower innovation is relevant for product managers and strategists. It provides a broad overview of where AI might be heading, useful for investors, researchers, and tech enthusiasts.

On the mic
  • HostSarah Guo
  • HostElad Gil
  • GuestJensen HuangFounder/CEO, NVIDIA
  • GuestArvind JainFounder/CEO, Glean
  • GuestWinston WeinbergFounder/CEO, Harvey
  • GuestScott WuFounder/CEO, Cognition
  • GuestRaiza MartinFounder/CEO, Huxe
  • GuestZach ZieglerFounder/CTO, Open Evidence
  • GuestAaron LevieFounder/CEO, Box
  • GuestMisha LaskinFounder/CEO, ReflectionAI
About
Key facts
  • Episode Title: The 2026 AI Forecast: Foundation Models, IPOs, and Robotics with Sarah Guo and Elad Gil
  • Show: No Priors
  • Length: 41 minutes
  • Predictions from: Jensen Huang, Arvind Jain, Winston Weinberg, Scott Wu, Raiza Martin, Zach Ziegler, Aaron Levie, Misha Laskin, Noam Brown, Joshua Meier, Bryan Johnson
Show notes from Conviction

Pundits are screaming about the so-called “AI bubble.” But historically slow-to-adopt industries like medicine and law are actually embracing AI at an unprecedented speed. Sarah Guo and Elad Gil look ahead to 2026, breaking down the major trends that will define the next era of AI technologies. They explore the future of AI foundational models, predicting breakthroughs in solving complex scientific problems. They share competing views on the timeline for robotics and self-driving cars, debating whether startups have a chance for survival or if incumbents will dominate. Elad and Sarah also discuss the return of tech IPOs and M&As, forecast a new wave of AI consumer agent software, and explore why consumer product innovation has been slower than expected. Finally, the two offer bold non-AI predictions for the new year, including the acceleration of defense tech startups and the second-order underrated impacts of GLP-1 drugs on biohacking.

Plus, stick around to hear predictions on what’s next for AI in 2026 from some of tech’s biggest names and industry leaders. We hear from Jensen Huang (Founder/CEO NVIDIA), Arvind Jain (Founder/CEO, Glean), Winston Weinberg (Founder/CEO, Harvey), Scott Wu (Founder/CEO, Cognition), Raiza Martin (Founder/CEO Huxe), Zach Ziegler (Founder/CTO, Open Evidence), Aaron Levie (Founder/CEO, Box), Misha Laskin (Founder/CEO, ReflectionAI), Noam Brown (Research Scientist, OpenAI), Joshua Meier (Founder/CEO Chai Discovery), Bryan Johnson (Living Man, Don't Die), Sholto Douglas (Member of the Technical Staff, Anthropic), Ben & Asher Spector (Stanford PhDs) and Dylan Patel (Founder/CEO SemiAnalysis).

Sign up for new podcasts every week. Email feedback to show@no-priors.com

Follow us on Twitter: @NoPriorsPod | @Saranormous | @EladGil 

Chapters:

00:00 – Introduction

02:43 – AI Predictions for 2026

04:40 – Adoption of AI in Professional Fields

07:17 – Robotics and Self-Driving Cars

08:25 – Robotics: Incumbents vs. Startups

13:59 – Future of IPOs and M&A in AI

16:42 – Challenges in Consumer AI Innovation

21:08 – Funding of Neo Labs, RL Research

26:28 – Predictions for 2026 Beyond AI

26:44 – The Future of Defense and Technology

28:23 – Biohacking and Peptide Therapies

30:37 – 2026 Prediction from AI Industry Leaders

40:46 – Conclusion



Jargon decoded
Foundation Models
Sarah Guo and Elad Gil
Large, versatile AI systems trained on vast amounts of data that can be adapted for many tasks.
IPOs
Sarah Guo and Elad Gil
Initial Public Offerings, when a private company first sells shares to the public.
GLP-1 drugs
Sarah Guo and Elad Gil
A class of drugs, often used for diabetes and weight loss, with potential broader health impacts.
Published
Show
No Priors · Conviction
Length
41 min
Summary by
Subvolts, using an AI model (how we work). Spotted a mistake? Tell us.

Questions people ask

What are the key AI trends expected in 2026?
The episode forecasts breakthroughs in foundational models for scientific problems, the rise of AI consumer agents, and debates robotics timelines. It also touches on market trends like IPOs.
Who shares predictions for AI in 2026?
The episode includes predictions from prominent tech leaders such as Jensen Huang of NVIDIA, Aaron Levie of Box, and Noam Brown from OpenAI.

Page generated Oct 19, 2026. Summaries are Subvolts' own; the audio, artwork and notes belong to Conviction.